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August 10th, 2010

Nano growth forecast $26B by 2015

Published on August 10th, 2010 | By: pwray@ceramics.org

The global market for nanotechnology is forecast to increase to more than $26 billion in 2015, a compound annual growth rate of 11.1% , from sales revenues of $11.67 billion in 2009, according to a new report, “Nanotechnology: A Realistic Market Assessment” from market analyst firm BCC Research.

The largest nanotechnology segments in 2009 were nanomaterials, with sales reaching $9 billion in 2009. This is expected to grow to more than $19 billion in 2015. Sales of nanotools, meanwhile, will experience high growth. From a total market revenue of $2.6 billion in 2009, the nanotools segment will increase at a 3.3% CAGR to reach a value of $6,812.5 million in 2015.

Sales of nanodevices, on the other hand, will experience moderate growth. This market segment was worth $31 million in 2009 and will increase at a 45.9% CAGR to reach a value of $233.7 million in 2015.

Interestingly enough, Nanowerk endorses this report as more of a real-life analysis of the nanotechnology market, compared to much of the hyperbole that comes with the territory. According to Nanowerk:

You can still find lots of people and reports referring to a “trillion-dollar nanotechnology market by 2015” … – it seems to be the standard justification for requesting funding for any kind of nanotechnology-related venture or project. Of course, those trillionizer hypemeisters were using the neat trick to calculate the entire value of “nanotechnology-impacted” products and not just the value of the nanotechnology-based materials included in these products.

$26 billion in 2015 is in a different universe than the previous record forecast of $2.95 trillion. It won’t make for eye-catching quotes in business plans, grant applications and political speeches, but it feels a lot more honest.

 


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